Embry-Riddle 
W-L: (11- 2) PR = 93.4275
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
207 H Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South ( 8- 7, 89.7) 11- 7
221 H Florida Tech Sunshine ( 5- 9, 90.3) 19-10
227 A Montevallo Gulf South ( 3-10, 83.9) 22- 6
309 H Anderson (SC) South Atlanti ( 9- 5, 89.7) 16- 6
312 H Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlanti ( 8- 6, 87.7) 17- 6
318 H Flagler Gulf South (15- 0, 99.9) 12-19
321 H Quincy GLVC ( 3- 7, 84.4) 21-12
324 H Rollins Sunshine ( 9- 6, 91.0) 18-15
326 H Lander Gulf South ( 6- 7, 88.4) 19- 8
328 A Palm Beach Atlantic Sunshine ( 6- 7, 86.3) 17- 7
401 H Florida Southern Sunshine (12- 1, 96.3) 5-10
404 A Lynn Sunshine ( 9- 4, 94.0) 13-12
408 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 5- 9, 90.3) 11-10
411 H St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0)
415 A Tampa Sunshine ( 8- 4, 95.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Alabama-Huntsville 11- 7 4 4 -0.09
221 H Florida Tech 19-10 9 4 1.47
227 A Montevallo 22- 6 16 9 0.00
309 H Anderson (SC) 16- 6 10 4 0.87
312 H Lenoir-Rhyne 17- 6 11 6 0.00
318 H Flagler 12-19 -7 -6 0.00
321 H Quincy 21-12 9 9 0.00
324 H Rollins 18-15 3 3 0.16
326 H Lander 19- 8 11 5 0.00
328 A Palm Beach Atlantic 17- 7 10 7 0.00
401 H Florida Southern 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.58
404 A Lynn 13-12 1 -1 1.97
408 A Florida Tech 11-10 1 3 -1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 H Florida Southern 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.58
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Embry-Riddle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adelphi |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| American International |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Anderson (SC) |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Ashland |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Assumption |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Barton |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Belmont Abbey |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Bentley |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Bloomsburg |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Bridgeport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Caldwell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Catawba |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Charleston |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Chestnut Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Chowan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Coker |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Colorado Mesa |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Concordia-St Paul |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Converse |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| CSU-Pueblo |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| D'Youville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Daemen |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Davenport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Davis & Elkins |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| District of Columbia |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Dominican (CA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Dominican (NY) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
 
| East Stroudsburg |
| Edinboro |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Emory & Henry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Felician |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Findlay |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Flagler |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
 
| |
| Florida Tech |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Fort Lewis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Franklin Pierce |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Frostburg State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Gannon |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Georgian Court |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Grand Valley State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Holy Family |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Indiana (PA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Indianapolis |
| Kutztown |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lake Erie |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lander |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Lee |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Lees-McRae |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Lewis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Limestone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Lock Haven |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lynn |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Malone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Mars Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Maryville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| McKendree |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Mercy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Millersville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Missouri Western |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Molloy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Montevallo |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Mount Olive |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| New Haven |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Newberry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
| North Greenville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Northern Michigan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Northwood |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Pace |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Post |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Quincy |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Regis (CO) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Rockhurst |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Rollins |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Saginaw Valley State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Seton Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Shepherd |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Shippensburg |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Shorter |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Slippery Rock |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Southern Connecticut |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Southern Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| St Anselm |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 2) |
St Leo |
| St Michaels |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) |
Tampa |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Thomas More |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Tiffin |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Tusculum |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Ursuline |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| UVA Wise |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Virginia State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Walsh |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| West Chester |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| West Virginia Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Westminster (UT) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Wheeling |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| William Jewell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Wingate |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Young Harris |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
PowerWise = 105

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Alabama-Huntsv ( 8- 7, 89.7) 11- 7 -10.16 23.03 -0.41 0.85 19.21
0 H Florida Tech ( 5- 9, 90.3) 19-10 -9.60 23.59 -0.41 0.85 19.68
0 A Montevallo ( 3-10, 83.9) 22- 6 -16.02 17.17 0.41 0.85 14.92
0 H Anderson (SC) ( 9- 5, 89.7) 16- 6 -10.20 22.99 -0.41 0.85 19.17
0 H Lenoir-Rhyne ( 8- 6, 87.7) 17- 6 -12.22 20.97 -0.41 0.85 17.46
0 H Flagler (15- 0, 99.9) 12-19 -0.00 33.19 -0.41 0.85 -0.34
0 H Quincy ( 3- 7, 84.4) 21-12 -15.54 17.65 -0.41 0.85 14.64
0 H Rollins ( 9- 6, 91.0) 18-15 -8.91 24.28 -0.41 0.85 20.27
0 H Lander ( 6- 7, 88.4) 19- 8 -11.53 21.66 -0.41 0.85 18.05
0 A Palm Beach Atl ( 6- 7, 86.3) 17- 7 -13.60 19.59 0.41 0.85 16.98
0 H Florida Southe (12- 1, 96.3) 5-10 -3.64 29.55 -0.41 0.85 -3.44
0 A Lynn ( 9- 4, 94.0) 13-12 -5.91 27.28 0.41 0.85 23.51
0 A Florida Tech ( 5- 9, 90.3) 11-10 -9.60 23.59 0.41 0.85 20.37
------
200.48
|
winning pts = 204.2598 losing points = -3.7836
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------