Embry-Riddle 
W-L: (16- 3) PR = 98.0659
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South ( 7-11, 92.9) 18- 4
209 A Montevallo Gulf South ( 4- 9, 85.0) 21- 4
212 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 21-13
215 A Lenoir-Rhyne South Atlanti (11- 8, 90.7) 23-11
217 A Barton Carolinas ( 9- 7, 86.6) 16- 2
226 A Lynn Sunshine (13- 4, 97.3) 13-14
305 A Flagler Gulf South (11- 5, 95.8) 17-12
313 H Lee Gulf South ( 4-12, 87.1) 18- 5
318 N St Anselm Northeast 10 (12- 6, 92.7) 13-12
321 A Palm Beach Atlantic Sunshine ( 6-10, 91.0) 25- 3
325 A Rollins Sunshine ( 8- 8, 94.7) 15-14
329 H Tampa Sunshine (17- 1, 99.9) 15-14
402 A St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 96.5) 15-11
405 H Palm Beach Atlantic Sunshine ( 6-10, 91.0) 22- 5
409 A Florida Southern Sunshine (17- 2, 99.3) 8-13
412 H Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 20-12
416 H Lynn Sunshine (13- 4, 97.3) 13- 7
419 H Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 17-13
424 A Florida Southern Sunshine (17- 2, 99.3) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Alabama-Huntsville 18- 4 14 5 0.38
209 A Montevallo 21- 4 17 13 0.00
212 A Florida Tech 21-13 8 3 1.52
215 A Lenoir-Rhyne 23-11 12 7 0.00
217 A Barton 16- 2 14 11 0.00
226 A Lynn 13-14 -1 0 -1.24
305 A Flagler 17-12 5 2 + 3.30
313 H Lee 18- 5 13 12 0.00
318 N St Anselm 13-12 1 5 -- -4.00
321 A Palm Beach Atlantic 25- 3 22 7 0.00
325 A Rollins 15-14 1 3 -1.80
329 H Tampa 15-14 1 -1 + 2.28
402 A St Leo 15-11 4 1 + 2.99
405 H Palm Beach Atlantic 22- 5 17 8 0.00
409 A Florida Southern 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.23
412 H Florida Tech 20-12 8 5 0.41
416 H Lynn 13- 7 6 1 + 3.66
419 H Florida Tech 17-13 4 5 -0.59
424 A Florida Southern 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 N St Anselm 13-12 1 5 -- -4.00
409 A Florida Southern 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.23
424 A Florida Southern 6-13 -7 -2 - -3.23
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Flagler 17-12 5 2 + 3.30
329 H Tampa 15-14 1 -1 + 2.28
402 A St Leo 15-11 4 1 + 2.99
416 H Lynn 13- 7 6 1 + 3.66
|
Embry-Riddle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Alabama-Huntsville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
American International |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Anderson (SC) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Ashland |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Assumption |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Barton |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Belmont Abbey |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
Bentley |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Bloomsburg |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Bridgeport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Caldwell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Catawba |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Charleston |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Chestnut Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Chowan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Coker |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Colorado Mesa |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Concordia-St Paul |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Converse |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
CSU-Pueblo |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
D'Youville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Daemen |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Davenport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Davis & Elkins |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
District of Columbia |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Dominican (CA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Dominican (NY) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
East Stroudsburg |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Edinboro |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Emory & Henry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Felician |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Findlay |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Flagler |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
 
| |
Florida Tech |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Fort Lewis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Franklin Pierce |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Frostburg State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Gannon |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Georgian Court |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Grand Valley State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Holy Family |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Indiana (PA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Indianapolis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Kutztown |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Lake Erie |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Lander |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 5- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Lee |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Lees-McRae |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Lewis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Limestone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Lincoln Memorial |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Lock Haven |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Lynn |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 8- 1)( 7- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Malone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Mars Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Maryville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
McKendree |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Mercy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Millersville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Missouri Western |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Molloy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Montevallo |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Mount Olive |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
New Haven |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Newberry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
North Greenville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Northern Michigan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Northwood |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Pace |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Post |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Quincy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Regis (CO) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Rockhurst |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Rollins |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Saginaw Valley State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Seton Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
Shepherd |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Shippensburg |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Shorter |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Slippery Rock |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Southern Connecticut |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Southern New Hampshire |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Southern Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
St Anselm |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
St Leo |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Tampa |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Thomas Jefferson |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Thomas More |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Tiffin |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Tusculum |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Ursuline |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
UVA Wise |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   5- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Virginia State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Walsh |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
 
| West Chester |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Westminster (UT) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Wheeling |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
William Jewell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Wilmington (DE) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Wingate |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Young Harris |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
PowerWise = 109

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Alabama-Huntsv ( 7-11, 92.9) 18- 4 -7.01 24.17 0.55 0.85 21.03
0 A Montevallo ( 4- 9, 85.0) 21- 4 -14.89 16.29 0.55 0.85 14.33
0 A Florida Tech ( 6-12, 94.0) 21-13 -5.87 25.31 0.55 0.85 22.00
0 A Lenoir-Rhyne (11- 8, 90.7) 23-11 -9.25 21.94 0.55 0.85 19.13
0 A Barton ( 9- 7, 86.6) 16- 2 -13.30 17.89 0.55 0.85 15.68
0 A Lynn (13- 4, 97.3) 13-14 -2.63 28.56 0.55 0.85 -1.76
0 A Flagler (11- 5, 95.8) 17-12 -4.08 27.10 0.55 0.85 23.52
0 H Lee ( 4-12, 87.1) 18- 5 -12.85 18.33 -0.55 0.85 15.12
0 N St Anselm (12- 6, 92.7) 13-12 -7.23 23.95 -0.00 0.85 20.37
0 A Palm Beach Atl ( 6-10, 91.0) 25- 3 -8.94 22.24 0.55 0.85 19.39
0 A Rollins ( 8- 8, 94.7) 15-14 -5.19 25.99 0.55 0.85 22.58
0 H Tampa (17- 1, 99.9) 15-14 -0.00 31.18 -0.55 0.85 26.05
0 A St Leo (13- 6, 96.5) 15-11 -3.40 27.78 0.55 0.85 24.10
0 H Palm Beach Atl ( 6-10, 91.0) 22- 5 -8.94 22.24 -0.55 0.85 18.45
0 A Florida Southe (17- 2, 99.3) 8-13 -0.62 30.56 0.55 0.85 -0.06
0 H Florida Tech ( 6-12, 94.0) 20-12 -5.87 25.31 -0.55 0.85 21.06
0 H Lynn (13- 4, 97.3) 13- 7 -2.63 28.56 -0.55 0.85 23.82
0 H Florida Tech ( 6-12, 94.0) 17-13 -5.87 25.31 -0.55 0.85 21.06
0 A Florida Southe (17- 2, 99.3) 6-13 -0.62 30.56 0.55 0.85 -0.06
------
325.81
|
winning pts = 327.6879 losing points = -1.8730
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------